Crushing-Wiring
0x726e8548ad5dc17211773e981acc2b0bb1a87450
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-1.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?$1.00May 24, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.11May 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 7, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in January?$7.95Mar 7, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in January?$7.94Jan 26, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$1.39Jan 26, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$2.56Jan 26, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.99Jan 26, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.98Dec 21, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $520 end of November?$1.01Dec 21, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.02Dec 21, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?$1.03Dec 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$1.00Nov 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?$1.00Nov 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $520 end of November?$1.00Nov 23, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$1.02Nov 23, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.05Nov 23, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Nov 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$1.00Oct 22, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.