0x7272f7097c481312fc0e88574918de6df3775d6d
0x7272f7097c481312fc0e88574918de6df3775d6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$24.25
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?
333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 17?
333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?
333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
323 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UNDER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 20, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$58.80Jul 20, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$50.68Jul 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$10.20Jul 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$50.87Jul 5, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$10.19Jul 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$50.84Jul 5, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$118.93Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$10.22Jul 4, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$10.28Jul 4, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$10.24Jul 4, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$50.87Jul 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$50.79Jun 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?$10.21Jun 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$50.66Jun 30, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffs$27.51Jun 30, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ASTRAL vs SINQU Rehti - Map 2 Winner$43.96Jun 30, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm$54.78Jun 30, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBrasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadelli$68.96Jun 30, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBrasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly$78.11Jun 30, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.