Lustrous-Cormorant
0x7277ac5c4c24771d8ed0bcd75816e93800b1ab80
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-86.1K
Realised
$-79.82
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
1054 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$40.60
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
6261 shares @ 52.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$469.58
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
5973 shares @ 41.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$388.25
$-2.1K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.10
$5.06
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
17 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.53
$1.84
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
13 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.43
$0.42
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
82964 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.2K
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
75249 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
10823 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-456.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.