Muffled-Bet
0x727d30c06bc4a5d918b59caeb853f786e5d1c2e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$339.69
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
204 shares @ 71.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$200.04
$55.04
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
222 shares @ 38.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.61
$-18.39
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 80.9¢·now 84.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.93
$0.93
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
124 shares @ 20.2¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.59
$-5.41
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.07
$-2.93
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.45
$0.45
- LAKERS
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
288 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-107.94
- UNDER
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
226 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.31
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- WARRIORS
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
214 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-98.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$101.65May 23, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $90.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".