Grouchy-Oval
0x728bdfdc71619740ea0287c9a26d2d76174cac0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$1.36
Total PnL
$-142.52
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
357 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 15?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on January 13?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?$0.39Jun 5, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?$1.02Jun 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?$1.03Jun 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 3?$1.04Jun 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3?$1.20Jun 3, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3?$1.02Jun 3, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 3?$1.19Jun 3, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 3?$1.02Jun 3, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?$4.17Jun 2, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?$1.04Jun 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 2?$1.01Jun 2, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?$1.16Jun 2, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?$1.01Jun 1, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?$1.54Jun 1, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?$1.02May 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?$1.02May 29, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 29?$1.04May 29, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 28?$1.16May 29, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?$1.82May 29, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".