Tense-Flesh
0x729937db2882d5661dd2fba0b4321a2ac4817b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.83
Total PnL
$-3.45
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.54
$0.04
- NO
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.32
$0.02
- NO
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.16
$0.04
- NO
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.58
$0.10
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$11.00Sep 12, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.20Sep 12, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.26Sep 12, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.50Aug 23, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.00Aug 23, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.2KJul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.2KJul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.4KJul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.4KJul 28, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$1.15Jul 28, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$2.11Jul 28, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup?$15.06Jul 28, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup?$15.00Jun 28, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$1.44Jun 28, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tari Eason win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?$2.02Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russel Westbrook win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?$2.07Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.15Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City wins the Premier League?$3.20Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$4.02Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?$4.67Jun 28, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $450.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 12, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.