Impressionable-Spirit
0x729b4e30fd1e075736ae6e4fef62a6208f4b12e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-231.81
Realised
$-136.75
Win rate
0%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Maria Scruggs win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
35 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.70
$0.53
- YES
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
12 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
6 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
6 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
5 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
5 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
4 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
4 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Scruggs win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$0.06Aug 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Scruggs win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$0.03Aug 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Scruggs win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$0.10Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.07Aug 14, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.02Aug 11, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.67Aug 11, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.47Aug 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.62Aug 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.03Aug 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.03Aug 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.01Aug 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1.62Aug 10, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Jul 20, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.65Apr 22, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.50Apr 22, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.00Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
82 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.