Costly-Expectation
0x729d6627914cb9cd9e168be9695204a1b635663d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$7.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
1993 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?
1900 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-58.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3AM ET
300 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6AM ET
233 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-16.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4AM ET
80 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40Apr 10, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?$1.9KApr 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$7.10Apr 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$8.56Apr 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$0.62Apr 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$19.45Apr 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$32.91Apr 9, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$15.27Apr 9, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$0.05Apr 9, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$14.97Apr 9, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$81.00Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$14.11Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$0.21Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$40.00Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$1.37Apr 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$9.96Apr 9, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$0.40Apr 9, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$0.26Apr 9, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$25.28Apr 9, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?$16.43Apr 9, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $51.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.