Loving-Chard
0x729f96d50699a1a413d626194b0e76fb07618ae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$66.96
Total PnL
$-85.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$11.80
$1.80
- NO
Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
24 shares @ 21.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will anyone say "Jail" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?
43 shares @ 11.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.88
$-1.12
- YES
Another Elon baby by December 31?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026?
708 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-4.88
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?$10.23Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Jail" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?$5.18Jul 29, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$10.45Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics$10.87Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$5.20Jul 28, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Elon baby by December 31?$5.16Jul 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$5.15Jul 28, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$10.12Jul 28, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026?$7.35Jul 28, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics$5.13Jul 28, 02:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $9.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.