0x72a109c4f9cd36059d28c55fcf20e5c42a721c1d
0x72a109c4f9cd36059d28c55fcf20e5c42a721c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$31.25
Total PnL
$-181.61
Realised
$-6.66
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$31.25
$6.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
31 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
26 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
25 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
21 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
19 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
19 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
17 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
13 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
12 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$67.23Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.44Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.50Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$7.56Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$15.99Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$22.49Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.22Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.03Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.22Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$24.99Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$36.47Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.09Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$6.17Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$13.38Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.88Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$21.40Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$3.60Aug 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$19.41Aug 21, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.