Whimsical-Batting
0x72a18e2ea7fac4921d42fd3d1bb1a0b35295b63d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$277.27
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
108 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-11.25
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?
2468 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.78
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
2361 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-86.95
- YES
Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
1555 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-622.75
- YES
Will World win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
1500 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-222.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1240 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-116.71
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.19Dec 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.97Dec 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$120.34Dec 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$27.49Dec 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$1.5KDec 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$144.00Dec 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$51.80Dec 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$22.78Dec 6, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$1.20Dec 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$23.77Dec 6, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$115.04Dec 6, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$9.46Dec 6, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$1.60Dec 6, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?$50.00Dec 6, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$3.21Dec 6, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$7.00Dec 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Dec 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$12.88Dec 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$7.00Dec 6, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$17.58Dec 6, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $55.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.