Threadbare-Membership
0x72a60a7723df6523a2ab0f4d5d8be562adbed770
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.00
Total PnL
$-5.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.70
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.52
$-0.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in November 2025?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 41°F or below on November 24?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.90Jul 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?$1.30Jul 23, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.70Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.70Jul 20, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.10Jul 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$4.80Jul 6, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$2.62Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$4.31Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$17.03Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$5.33Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.61Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?$3.61Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.92Jun 30, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.11Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.60Jun 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$5.30Jun 29, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.90Jun 29, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$17.00Jun 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$2.60Jun 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?$3.60Jun 27, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.