Flippant-Pecan
0x72aac91cf08e26f2cb02683d2ac746f59a43b9bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.82
Total PnL
$-8.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 8?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
- YES
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.94Jun 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 8?$1.07Jun 7, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$0.00Apr 1, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMNaples: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovic$0.00Apr 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next?$0.02Apr 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.22Apr 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.43Apr 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?$0.72Apr 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$0.85Apr 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.87Apr 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$0.80Apr 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaples: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovic$1.00Mar 29, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$0.00Mar 28, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 26?$0.00Mar 28, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMNaples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Muller$0.00Mar 28, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMMorelia: Marc Polmans vs Chris Rodesch$0.00Mar 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$1.00Mar 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Muller$1.00Mar 26, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Mar 26, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.