Weird-Creditor
0x72c0304a6b7d8f46269cc5b8d90279d041c9ab01
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-61.34
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8PM ET
13151 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-157.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8PM ET
7321 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-67.06
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
1483 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.81
- NO
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22?
1012 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.02
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
698 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-453.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
588 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-47.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 30?
505 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$453.84Jan 25, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$349.65Jan 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$20.00Jan 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$100.00Jan 25, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$50.00Jan 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$274.19Jan 25, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$244.27Jan 25, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$20.00Jan 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)$264.27Jan 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)$174.42Jan 25, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$174.42Jan 25, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$144.77Jan 24, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$144.77Jan 24, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$82.32Jan 24, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET$82.32Jan 24, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET$68.14Jan 24, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs strongboys - Game 1 Winner$0.00Jan 24, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jan 19, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.82Jan 19, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.97Jan 19, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.