0x72caa541315a8a392a4045c12bd54d15cdbc7a58
0x72caa541315a8a392a4045c12bd54d15cdbc7a58
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
144
Open notional
$10.37
Total PnL
$-638.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
33 shares @ 15.2¢·now 31.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.37
$5.35
- ELINA AVANESYAN
Antalya 2: Elina Avanesyan vs Anhelina Kalinina
7983 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
730 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
722 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
571 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
523 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$9.27Mar 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.46Mar 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.25Mar 20, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.22Mar 20, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.96Mar 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.76Mar 20, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.62Mar 20, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.46Mar 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.58Mar 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.55Mar 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.28Mar 20, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.76Mar 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.52Mar 20, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.02Mar 20, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.04Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.22Mar 20, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$6.15Mar 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.46Mar 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.05Mar 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.92Mar 20, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.