Quintessential-Device
0x72d5cedce3f92fcea627090e314bea7d3f10f7c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$40.09
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-87.99
Win rate
0%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$3.67
$-0.43
- NO
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- CELTIC FC
Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: Team to Advance
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.23
$0.02
- NO
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?$1.25Aug 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?$5.04Aug 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?$10.13Aug 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?$10.15Aug 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?$5.06Aug 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltic FC vs. LASK Linz: Team to Advance$2.03Aug 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?$4.17Aug 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?$1.02Aug 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?$2.04Aug 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score$1.47Aug 16, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?$1.39Aug 15, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Brugge win on 2026-08-15?$1.52Aug 15, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSV win on 2026-08-15?$6.31Aug 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win on 2026-08-15?$1.02Aug 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-15?$1.02Aug 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score$1.02Aug 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?$1.01Aug 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?$1.01Aug 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?$2.04Aug 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-08-15?$4.17Aug 15, 11:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.