Intentional-Tog
0x72dc9a2f4019cb17c2428c0d4dc687208b0233a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-35.68
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 6AM ET
663 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
258 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
242 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
233 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
213 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
209 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
201 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.24Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.24Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.25Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.24Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$20.57Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.09Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.08Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.08Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.02Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$10.36Jul 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$10.38Jul 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$10.36Jul 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.24Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.34Jul 19, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.34Jul 19, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.34Jul 19, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.10Jul 19, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.