Excited-Rent
0x72dd37faa22022615a499ffea9a3dc6b00284ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?
684 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19?
560 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-10?
540 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-94.28
- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-13?
513 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-20?
501 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?
422 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22?
405 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17?
405 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-81.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$85.72Jun 28, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$27.13Jun 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$60.83Jun 27, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$112.33Jun 27, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$10.29Jun 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$64.86Jun 26, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$50.93Jun 26, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$20.34Jun 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$156.84Jun 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$28.04Jun 26, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$81.54Jun 25, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$20.23Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$7.12Jun 25, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$146.91Jun 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$103.44Jun 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$50.79Jun 25, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score$10.15Jun 25, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score$11.28Jun 25, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$50.73Jun 25, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$50.72Jun 25, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $61.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.