Devoted-Device
0x72e0833f31e34ba9407cc3dea5b404c59dea8e57
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$51.05
Total PnL
$30.51
Realised
$76.04
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
56 shares @ 0.3¢·now 23.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$12.98
$12.82
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
544 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$6.81
$-1.26
- YES
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
159 shares @ 1.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$6.59
$4.73
- YES
Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
55 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$2.83
$2.24
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
37 shares @ 1.1¢·now 6.9¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$2.57
$2.16
- YES
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
92 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.89
$1.36
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
95 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$1.86
$0.51
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
71 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$1.77
$0.94
- YES
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
28 shares @ 1.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$1.30
$0.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$6.72Jul 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$0.19Jul 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$9.95Jul 20, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$24.00Jul 20, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$20.17Jul 20, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$8.63Jul 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$18.00Jul 19, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.00Jul 18, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.14Jul 14, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.19Jul 14, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July?$0.26Jul 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July?$0.80Jul 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July?$0.10Jul 13, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July?$0.03Jul 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.27Jul 12, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July?$0.13Jul 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.74Jul 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.19Jul 12, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.