Irresponsible-Lord
0x72e570f81da125c2258d8860b31f1c22e5e06412
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.18
Realised
$1.36
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?
50 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 23?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 30?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 5?
50 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 5?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 5?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.14Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.15Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9?$11.95Jul 9, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9?$1.99Jul 9, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9?$14.28Jul 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$2.01Jul 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$2.24Jul 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$12.90Jul 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$2.15Jul 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$2.21Jul 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?$21.00Jul 9, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 9?$0.22Jul 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 9?$0.22Jul 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?$5.66Jul 5, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?$1.00Jul 5, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?$0.94Jul 5, 06:46 UTC
- REWARD$3.97Jul 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?$3.28Jul 4, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?$0.69Jul 4, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?$8.60Jul 4, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.