Insistent-Frosting
0x72e6d58627c69bb45c6592e98e179431e5977bf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-155.10
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?
2551 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- KNICKS
Mavericks vs. Knicks
1502 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-471.13
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
1188 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-986.23
- YES
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-16?
1024 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-439.88
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
867 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-390.15
- THUNDER
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
800 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-335.92
- KAROLINA MUCHOVA
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova
800 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-345.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
714 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
544 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-39.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$100.00Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$58.73Jul 3, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$266.33Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$135.83Jun 24, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$95.49Jun 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$991.26May 29, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$61.26May 29, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$91.48May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$122.99May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$10.53May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$2.72May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$3.84May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$53.47May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova$2.45May 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$3.35May 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$2.80May 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$4.97May 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$2.52May 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$3.57May 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Juventud win on 2026-05-27?$1.08May 27, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $83.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.