Deafening-Speculation-Rally
0x72ecec7c4f9da25299da656fb55cec228f57ec9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$435.05
Total PnL
$-116.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$104.46
$4.46
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$100.60
$0.60
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$99.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
101 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.52
$1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$24.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
2589 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
49 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?$20.17Jun 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$20.17Jun 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$14.55Jun 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$6.43Jun 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$25.61Jun 19, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$51.21Jun 19, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.13Jun 19, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$60.00Jun 19, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$50.77Jun 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$26.54Jun 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$28.40Jun 19, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$26.40Jun 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.17Jun 19, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.02Jun 19, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.46Jun 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.08Jun 19, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$26.73Jun 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$26.26Jun 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$28.61Jun 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$25.37Jun 19, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $35.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.