Upset-Weasel
0x72ff02cfdf912f1e070d26fd2cab0c813a4b032d
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.35
Total PnL
$-186.20
Realised
$-33.34
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
333 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$6.17
$-8.83
- YES
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$3.18
$-6.82
- YES
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
209 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.30
- NO
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FLYERS
Hurricanes vs. Flyers
57 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- RODRIGUEZ
Zuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Katzourakis (Middleweight, Main)
43 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.08
- JEREMY STEPHENS
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
41 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
30 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$30.06Jul 4, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)$12.26May 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Katzourakis (Middleweight, Main)$10.19May 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Katzourakis (Middleweight, Main)$6.19May 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Flyers$20.39May 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$10.26May 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Wild$5.08May 1, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$8.00May 1, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$2.05Apr 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$2.04Apr 29, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?$0.00Apr 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)$0.00Apr 27, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$15.00Apr 27, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 27, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$5.00Apr 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.00Apr 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.00Apr 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.00Apr 27, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.