Menacing-Recapitulation
0x7301f3c0d454eba61c52e2f5badf9bc4e5f04c9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$88.51
Total PnL
$-92.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 5?
88 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$88.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?
1261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 7?
1220 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 11?
640 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 2-8?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 5?$88.01Jun 4, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 4, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$1.07Jun 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$90.09Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$90.00Jun 1, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$90.09May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$90.01May 25, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$2.89May 25, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$92.09May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$92.00May 22, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.09May 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.00May 19, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?$92.09May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?$92.01May 9, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$16.02May 9, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$76.08May 9, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$76.01May 6, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$2.25May 6, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$16.00May 6, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$94.11May 6, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $65.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".