0x731039962b6d173b152d3fa357ff5fe5a5a2c36a
0x731039962b6d173b152d3fa357ff5fe5a5a2c36a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.09
Total PnL
$-15.60
Realised
$-3.99
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$4.82
$0.82
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.83
$0.33
- YES
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
65 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
557 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
45 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
10 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02May 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05May 4, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.08May 4, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.13May 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00May 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50May 4, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.41May 4, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.62Apr 30, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.29Apr 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.40Apr 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Apr 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Apr 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.10Apr 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Apr 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.05Apr 28, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.