Live-Worry
0x731269aefa2310c062a8d52f24cc9c5a2f2940be
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Golden by HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna & REI AMI be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?
64 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?$3.83Jan 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Competition" during earnings call?$5.00Jan 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$1.00Jan 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?$1.00Jan 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?$1.00Jan 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden by HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna & REI AMI be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?$1.00Jan 18, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?$1.00Jan 18, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$37.06Jan 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 17, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$30.00Jan 16, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$0.00Jan 16, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 16, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Jan 16, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$0.00Jan 16, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$3.84Jan 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$27.27Aug 8, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".