Lively-Cormorant
0x73283f2729b8c3d7279a8d17a0065b797ea0dbff
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$70.38
Total PnL
$-50.47
Realised
$2.61
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 4?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$8.21
$4.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?
41 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$6.56
$-0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 3?
45 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.13
$-0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4?
26 shares @ 13.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.87
$1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?
21 shares @ 17.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.83
$1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 4?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.73
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.34
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 3?
12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.65
$0.68
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.55
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.72
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4?$3.67Jun 2, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?$1.81Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 4?$1.63Jun 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 3?$2.46Jun 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 3?$2.11Jun 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 4?$2.65Jun 2, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?$4.61Jun 2, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?$1.25Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 4?$6.94Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?$1.81Jun 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 3?$1.31Jun 2, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 4?$3.74Jun 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?$1.16Jun 2, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 3?$1.09Jun 2, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 3?$1.16Jun 2, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$7.68Jun 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 4?$1.16Jun 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 4?$2.70Jun 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 3?$1.17Jun 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$2.48Jun 2, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".