0x732d8e50a1f12d5d0f15d6acd989fd3214905f5d
0x732d8e50a1f12d5d0f15d6acd989fd3214905f5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.50
Realised
$7.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
554 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 3?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4?
81 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.84May 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$1.05May 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$2.05May 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.58May 9, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.04May 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$3.15May 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$3.13May 3, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.05May 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?$1.00Mar 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?$0.14Mar 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.67Mar 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?$8.29Mar 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4?$2.00Mar 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$40.09Mar 10, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?$52.97Mar 10, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Mar 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?$1.00Mar 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 10, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.