Long-Clause
0x733139ff8aeb5652ac84a4263a20d43edd92910a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.1K
Realised
$606.88
Win rate
91%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
9883 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-283.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
8191 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-239.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
7137 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-154.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
6749 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-317.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
6097 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-179.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
5854 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-623.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
5438 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-691.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
4873 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-289.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
4639 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-229.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
4084 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-545.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.01Jul 17, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.01Jul 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jul 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.28Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.20Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.16Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.64Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.63Jul 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.23Jul 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.53Jul 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$5.33Jul 17, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.