Youthful-Blanket-Collaboration
0x733275cc91c6ff57c7aa8c02340a03d487fa9828
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.12
Realised
$5.58
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14?
504 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?
273 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 14?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?
72 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 4?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?
31 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.07Jul 7, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.06Jul 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.27Jul 7, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.04Jul 7, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Jul 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.07Jul 7, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.89Jul 5, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.03Jul 5, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 4?$1.05Jul 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 4?$1.05Jul 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?$1.03Jun 29, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?$1.21Jun 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 29?$1.03Jun 28, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?$1.04Jun 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?$1.05Jun 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?$1.39Jun 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?$1.04Jun 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?$3.42Jun 25, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?$1.04Jun 25, 01:20 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$1.00Jun 24, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.