0x7333adfd2b841d7f3135c2aec603553ac9798980
0x7333adfd2b841d7f3135c2aec603553ac9798980
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$35.39
Total PnL
$-61.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
1622 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$21.08
$11.08
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?
52 shares @ 9.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$2.71
$-2.29
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
57 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$-2.01
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
274 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 23, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$17.57Jun 17, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?$0.00Jun 17, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$0.00Jun 17, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria?$0.00Jun 17, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?$0.00Jun 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?$10.34Jun 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria?$10.35Jun 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?$10.35Jun 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$51.57Jun 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.23Jun 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.04Jun 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$51.77Jun 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.26Jun 7, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$10.05Jun 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$10.45Jun 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$4.73Jun 7, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?$5.25Jun 7, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $15.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.