Wallet digest

Activity score

15/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.0K

Realised

$-191.59

Win rate

50 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UNDER
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5
7352 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-8.39
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
5534 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-2.7K
PATRIOTS
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)
2279 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-5.24
UNDER
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
1062 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026
$0.00
$-9.43
UNDER
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.05
NO
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
1044 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-3.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
330 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-98.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
230 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-118.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
116 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-49.25
THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
83 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.49

Recent activity

REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5$4.75Mar 15, 17:40 UTC
REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5$1.25Mar 5, 07:26 UTC
REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5$1.30Mar 5, 07:26 UTC
REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5$1.70Mar 5, 07:26 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-11.5)$0.10Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMPurdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5$0.12Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score$0.28Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5$0.36Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)$0.60Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5$0.67Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMCA Grau vs. CS Huancayo: O/U 2.5$0.67Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMCornell Big Red vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 155.5$0.70Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Iona Gaels (-5.5)$0.89Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSpread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-2.5)$0.91Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Hornets (-2.5)$0.99Feb 23, 06:19 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Florida Gators (-8.5)$1.00Feb 17, 00:00 UTC
REDEEMCA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5$1.03Feb 17, 00:00 UTC
REDEEMSpread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-11.5)$1.04Feb 17, 00:00 UTC
REDEEMGeorge Mason Patriots vs. Richmond Spiders$1.06Feb 17, 00:00 UTC
REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders$1.08Feb 17, 00:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

67/100

read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 50 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

missing

No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.

Resolved-only track record

pass

50 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry83 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk20 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 17, 00:00 UTC
Last active: Mar 15, 17:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 50 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 07:01:09 UTC·src:Polymarket Data