0x733ee2592ca16c1656cddb58366d1558f4beae66
0x733ee2592ca16c1656cddb58366d1558f4beae66
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump posts 100 or more times on X?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 180 or more times?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 160-179 times?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times November 1-8?
84 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times November 1-8?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$49.16Nov 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 575-599 times November 1-8?$5.00Nov 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600 or more times November 1-8?$5.00Nov 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 4, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump posts 100 or more times on X?$10.00Aug 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 160-179 times?$5.00Aug 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 180 or more times?$5.00Aug 19, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 90-99 times?$0.00Aug 10, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during the debate?$0.00Aug 10, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dementia" during the debate?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player win Wimbledon Men's?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon Men's?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkey win the 2024 Euros?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shark" during the debate?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 80-89 times?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMNvidia largest company next Friday?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 90-99 times?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 100+ times?$0.00Aug 10, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 90-99 times?$1.00Aug 9, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.