Heavenly-Rivulet
0x73486341144be841b38f47b7eb3934f1be6a6f74
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-657.46
Realised
$-9.72
Win rate
3%
72 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
2381 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.81
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
152 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
93 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
80 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-43.60
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
62 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- UP
BNB Up or Down - August 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
61 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
54 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.58
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.02Aug 9, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.35Aug 9, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.07Aug 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.02Aug 7, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$4.49Aug 7, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.02Aug 7, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.11Aug 7, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.17Aug 7, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$9.66Aug 7, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.07Aug 7, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$4.67Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.51Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.45Aug 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.70Aug 6, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$12.82Aug 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$10.15Aug 6, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$12.82Aug 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$10.15Aug 6, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$7.84Aug 6, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.64Aug 5, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 72 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
72 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 72 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.