Private-Duration
0x73493a70c12f7c88e10604f0c7610c2e89a18ae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$8.93
Total PnL
$3.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 15?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.15Jun 20, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.29Jun 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$14.46Apr 30, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $12.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.