Negligible-Ram
0x734b24456543c5832001590cf9a397ee71eb2a2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$88.57
Total PnL
$-46.20
Realised
$-33.09
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
20 shares @ 80.1¢·now 77.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.48
$-0.54
- NO
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$15.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
50 shares @ 36.3¢·now 28.3¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$14.14
$-4.00
- YES
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.60
$-0.60
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
41 shares @ 21.8¢·now 19.3¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$7.91
$-1.02
- NO
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.79
$0.52
- YES
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?
50 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.75
$-0.97
- NO
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$3.68
$0.11
- NO
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
3 shares @ 85.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$0.20
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.44
$1.45
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.12Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$10.20Jul 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?$5.34Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- MERGEBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$9.00Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?$0.40Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?$1.00Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?$2.20Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$33.49Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$10.90Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?$0.32Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?$0.80Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?$0.01Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?$1.68Jul 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?$5.64Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$0.96Jul 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$0.96Jul 28, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$15.80Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?$1.48Jul 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?$0.10Jul 28, 00:33 UTC
- REWARD$3.49Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.