Average-Cradle
0x734be2944318017f87086219a57e8fd5a89a5d1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-8.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
4 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$1.00May 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$1.00May 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$1.00May 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?$3.00Feb 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$3.00Feb 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$3.00Feb 4, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".