Vast-Dhow
0x73503fb35fcf6536bac891c52782fc42ea463c71
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.04
Total PnL
$-1.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$8.01
$7.28
- NO
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
8 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$2.00Aug 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?$8.00Aug 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea App removed from App Store by August 31?$2.00Aug 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?$2.00Aug 28, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?$6.04Aug 28, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?$6.00Jun 30, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?$20.04Jun 30, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?$20.00May 31, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Thunderbolts' gross less than $67m on opening weekend?$0.00May 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?$0.00May 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Thunderbolts' gross between $77m and 82m on opening weekend?$0.00May 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?$20.08May 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Thunderbolts' gross between $67m and 72m on opening weekend?$20.00Apr 30, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Oilers$20.63Mar 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$20.61Mar 5, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 5, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 5, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 5, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 5, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 5, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 28, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.