Worrisome-Saxophone
0x73533101b2276cd08ec3d281f81bfc6b86944b0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-46.37
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
30890 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-69.97
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
2622 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- OVER
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
2120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UNDER
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5
2037 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
1549 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
1220 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-634.40
- OVER
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
800 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-344.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
550 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-297.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
508 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$7.76Jun 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-2.5)$392.67Jun 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$161.10Jun 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$62.39Jun 21, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$170.92Jun 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$69.69Jun 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$274.60Jun 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$218.98Jun 21, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$222.97Jun 21, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ecuador (-2.5)$400.00Jun 21, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$400.00Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$400.00Jun 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-2.5)$230.94Jun 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$266.69Jun 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$230.94Jun 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$99.89Jun 20, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$27.40Jun 20, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $191.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.