Spicy-Dramaturge
0x7359954d88123d4a6dda451fd6cef21fa24fdac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?
750 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
641 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
520 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
348 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
340 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
328 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
309 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$34.00Feb 9, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$13.33Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?$7.72Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$4.01Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$3.55Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.10Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$3.33Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?$14.47Jan 31, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$10.30Jan 31, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jan 31, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00Jan 31, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$15.00Jan 31, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$59.50Jan 31, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$14.70Jan 29, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$2.70Jan 29, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?$6.00Jan 29, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$2.40Jan 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$25.52Jan 29, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.