Golden-Unemployment
0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$25.8K
Total PnL
$-514.27
Realised
$-78.25
Win rate
55%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
9724 shares @ 51.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.7K
$-322.06
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
6364 shares @ 35.7¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$784.12
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
2908 shares @ 87.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.8K
$282.38
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4419 shares @ 35.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$409.16
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
1522 shares @ 76.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$75.19
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
2643 shares @ 45.1¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.2K
$37.12
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
1416 shares @ 35.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$662.07
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
3423 shares @ 28.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$907.13
$-77.03
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
756 shares @ 70.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$590.00
$56.04
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
1334 shares @ 39.1¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$586.74
$65.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$204.47Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.70Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.35Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.40Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$7.09Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.54Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.80Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.46Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.91Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.62Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.31Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.50Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.00Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.50Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.50Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$78.76Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$48.13Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $80.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.