Rectangular-Forelimb
0x7369d23f23fa8d7d9291d148b39acbb1c13859a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$632.87
Total PnL
$2.23
Realised
$5.70
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
220 shares @ 88.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$192.68
$-1.65
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?
190 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$168.80
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?
144 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$126.45
$-3.46
- YES
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$88.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?
51 shares @ 87.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$44.72
$0.68
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$11.72
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$88.42Aug 4, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $10 in August?$49.71Aug 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in August?$48.96Aug 2, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?$30.95Aug 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?$27.77Aug 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?$54.26Aug 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?$11.33Aug 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?$31.34Aug 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?$9.25Aug 2, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?$3.90Aug 2, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?$4.78Aug 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?$22.50Aug 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?$22.82Aug 1, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?$27.00Aug 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?$24.27Aug 1, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?$24.27Aug 1, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?$15.88Aug 1, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?$0.18Aug 1, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?$90.00Aug 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?$9.58Aug 1, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.