Big-Hearted-Tornado
0x7374f448abb1175e583bf55941393820a97df75b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.47
Total PnL
$-0.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.77
$0.01
- NO
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.59
$0.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.58
$0.08
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.57
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.57
$0.05
- NO
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.28
$0.01
- YES
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.52Jan 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.27Jan 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.50Jan 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.62Jan 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.59Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.38Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.76Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.56Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.00Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.24Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.26Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.30Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.33Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.44Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.54Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.54Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.74Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.83Jan 10, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.53Dec 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.29Dec 29, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.