Ragged-Confectionery
0x73834b4887a702b342b7bfcb91377b8d6186cbc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
1875 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?
148 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on September 12?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: October
36 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 3: Ajagba vs. Martin (Heavyweight, Main)$1.00Feb 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?$1.00Feb 15, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Nacional win on 2026-02-15?$1.00Feb 15, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: October$1.00Oct 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?$1.00Oct 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$1.00Sep 10, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on September 12?$3.00Sep 9, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.50Sep 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$1.00Sep 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$1.00Sep 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.60Sep 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?$4.23Sep 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?$0.74Aug 30, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?$1.00Aug 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$2.00Aug 29, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".