Plastic-Panpipe
0x738a0a2150045729c8ee83b15103cf89c4da5152
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-881.52
Realised
$-14.66
Win rate
0%
187 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 11?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 11?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
1023 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?
133 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-32.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?
77 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 11?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 11?
25 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.37Aug 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.99Aug 20, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.55Aug 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.26Aug 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.59Aug 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$4.41Aug 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.00Aug 19, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.20Aug 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.96Aug 19, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.20Aug 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$4.96Aug 19, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.20Aug 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$4.76Aug 19, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.20Aug 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.96Aug 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe$1.03Aug 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$4.96Aug 10, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.20Aug 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$4.99Aug 10, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 187 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
187 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 187 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.