Cumbersome-Bestseller
0x738f766db3b93dac832fd03d5f7d53aff07588c4
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$102.52
Total PnL
$-31.86
Realised
$-19.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
3416 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$75.15
$43.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?
110 shares @ 16.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.02
$-1.87
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
232 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.14
$1.34
- SEAN STRICKLAND
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$2.94
$-0.08
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.20
$-1.20
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
426 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.06
$-1.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET
5863 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?
124 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$3.0956m ago
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$3.0658m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$7.121d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.001d ago
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.811d ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.092d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$2.072d ago
- TRADESELLWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$6.862d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$9.306d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.506d ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$3.126d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$4.196d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$8.166d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.876d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.126d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$11.006d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.008d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$11.608d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$11.558d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 56m ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
