Powerless-Ideal
0x73a44fa5b620c1b14e0af4b8ddce06950dad8651
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$12.42
Total PnL
$-65.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
49 shares @ 8.1¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$7.53
$3.53
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$3.27
$2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 24?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$4.36Jul 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.34Jul 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$10.31Jul 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.15Jul 23, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$20.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$28.99Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.35Jul 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$20.43Jul 23, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$17.24Jul 23, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.29Jul 23, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$14.49Jul 23, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.22Jul 23, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$21.74Jul 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$20.11Jul 23, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$8.33Jul 23, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.14Jul 23, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$26.73Jul 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 24?$1.05Jul 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 23?$4.78Jul 23, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$74.20Jul 22, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.