Barren-Inverse
0x73a8c0ab4c7d2f1d5de65700782826768007a8b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$66.58
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-70.03
Win rate
32%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?
29 shares @ 87.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$26.75
$1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$15.23
$4.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?
14 shares @ 80.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.49
$2.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?
20 shares @ 70.5¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 29?
17 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?
510 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?
489 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?
369 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$25.15Jul 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 29?$1.05Jul 29, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$6.05Jul 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?$3.07Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?$5.04Jul 29, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$3.04Jul 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$0.31Jul 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?$5.05Jul 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$1.03Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?$1.05Jul 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$0.64Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$0.56Jul 29, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?$0.16Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$1.03Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?$0.30Jul 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?$5.04Jul 29, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.