Hospitable-Cormorant
0x73ad2cd50c4b790f0aba0d6e0955a456a51dcdc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$17.02
Total PnL
$-5.64
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.93
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.04
$0.04
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: November
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.56
$-0.01
- NO
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.48
$-0.01
- NO
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will between 223 and 224 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
1 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Nov 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$177.11Nov 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$99.40Nov 14, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Nov 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$2.00Nov 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?$3.00Nov 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$104.55Nov 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$178.85Nov 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$276.43Nov 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$278.20Nov 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 223 and 224 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?$3.00Nov 13, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$2.04Nov 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$1.00Sep 26, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$2.00Sep 26, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$1.00Sep 26, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Sep 26, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.07Sep 26, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMSenate pass act to buy ≥1m Bitcoin?$1.02Sep 26, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.08Sep 26, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.11Sep 26, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $32.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".