Strange-Decoder
0x73b59056514ec591b5998bebdb3d42eb7f6ee8a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$188.90
Total PnL
$-803.60
Realised
$2.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
108 shares @ 12.0¢·now 67.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$72.85
$59.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$29.46
$14.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$22.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
106 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$17.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
112 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
108 shares @ 18.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$11.32
$-8.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
107 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$3.25
$-12.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$20.83Jul 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.04Jul 23, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.04Jul 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.04Jul 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1.03Jul 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$19.79Jul 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$17.71Jul 22, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$20.81Jul 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$16.68Jul 22, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$114.09Jul 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$25.99Jul 19, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$23.92Jul 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$10.45Jul 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$68.42Jul 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$9.13Jul 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.14Jul 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$0.30Jul 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jul 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$17.71Jul 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$13.57Jul 15, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.